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The UAE and GCC Retail Sector: A Powerhouse of Growth and Opportunity

April 23, 2025

Anishkaa Gehani, Founder and CEO of Yardstick Marketing & Co-Founder and Chief Marketing Officer at iAccel Gulf Business Incubator provided this exclusive for Communicate on the UAE and GCC retail sector and its future.

For brands entering new markets, cultural alignment is an essential ingredient in the formula for success. Even the most accomplished global campaigns can fall flat and create a jarring disconnect with local consumers without deep cultural and contextual alignments. In the GCC, where consumer expectations blend global sophistication with local sensibilities, brands must emphasize hyper-localized market-specific intelligence and an authentic understanding of regional behaviors, backed by data-driven insights.

This alignment is especially critical given the region’s booming retail potential. The UAE retail market is brimming with opportunities, with retail sales expected to reach USD 139 billion by 2028. According to Yardstick Marketing Management’s latest retail report – UAE – A Retail Destination, the sector contributes over 20% to Dubai’s GDP while employing 21% of the Emirati workforce. Even though a strong reputation and high production value may lead to traction in new markets, for global brands entering the GCC market with unique cultural and social norms, gaining a foothold necessitates agile adaptation. Nearly 80% of failed market entries stem from inadequate cultural adaptation, according to McKinsey's retail analysis.

There has been a significant shift in regional consumer behavior that necessitates the re-evaluation of traditional marketing approaches. The modern consumer operates in a hybrid shopping environment where digital and physical experiences seamlessly merge. Beyond the impact of macroeconomic factors, trends influencing the retail market include shifts in shopping patterns and rapid adoption of digital solutions. Notably, 89% of retail shoppers now use digital tools during their purchases. The retail landscape in the UAE, with its digitally savvy consumers, seasonal nuances, and preference for hyper-relevant messaging, demands a more strategic approach. The UAE dominates globally with 99% social media adoption, with social shopping platforms like TikTok Shop and Instagram Checkout becoming essential sales channels, requiring brands to develop omnichannel strategies that bridge online engagement with offline fulfillment.

According to research by NielsenIQ, shoppers in the UAE are more willing to switch stores in pursuit of deals. They also show a slightly stronger preference for specific brands, indicating that while promotions drive behavior, brand loyalty and trust remain crucial factors in purchasing decisions. In contrast, the Saudi market sees higher promotion intensity and greater promotional efficiency, suggesting that brands are strategically leveraging discounts to boost sales while keeping costs in check. Temporary price cuts continue to be the most common form of promotion in the country. These intricacies demand market-specific approaches rather than blanket regional strategies.

While many brands approach the GCC as a monolithic market, the region is characterized by distinct consumer segments, each requiring tailored approaches. Bain & Company reports that Dubai millennials will represent 40% of the global luxury goods market by 2025, while Kantar's 2024 FMCG data shows Saudi families dominate 44% of category spending, with bulk purchases accounting for 51% of the volume share and promotion-driven stockpiling as observed in 68% of households, defining purchase behaviors.

Successful market entry demands comprehensive pre-market intelligence. For brands eyeing entry into the region, it is important to undertake pre-launch cultural audits. These must go beyond surface-level translation to identify core values that drive consumer behavior. Competitor gap analysis is equally critical, particularly for seasonal campaigns during peak periods like Eid and the Dubai Shopping Festival, when consumer spending traditionally witnesses significant spikes. Strategic localization also extends to content and regulatory compliance. Messaging that emphasizes innovation and exclusivity resonates in Dubai, while Riyadh consumers prefer family-oriented value propositions.

The GCC’s retail evolution demands more than transactional insights. As the GCC’s retail landscape continues to evolve, it is essential for brands to go beyond knowing what consumers buy. They must understand how they shop, what influences their decisions, and how to align offerings to local values. Brands that understand this will not just gain market share but also earn lasting loyalty in one of the world's most dynamic retail markets.

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